Terry Haines’ Pangaea Policy delivers award-winning independent, accurate, nonconsensus macro policy and political forecasting with a focus on US and major governments worldwide.

Bloomberg Surveillance anchor Tom Keene calls Terry “brilliant”, “a great Washington watcher”, “shockingly balanced”, who writes “blistering detailed pieces on policy”. On the 2020 US elections, Keene said there was “no one more vocal about the lack of a blue wave than Terry Haines….he absolutely nailed [it]”. Terry’s “no red wave” prediction for the US 2022 midterms was both accurate and nonconsensus.


Terry was featured in coverage of the last 3 POTUS inaugurations on Bloomberg, BBC, and CNBC. Terry is a regular contributor to Bloomberg TV, streaming, and radio, and also appears on CNBC; BBC; Asharq News; CNN; CGTN (China's world service); and in many financial and political publications.


Terry’s work is unique in the space and valued for its actionable insights. Terry's forecasting is based in a deep understanding of political and policy motivations derived from over 40 years of policy experience and expertise in high-level US government posts, national politics including 6x POTUS campaign advisor, private sector law and policy, and financial markets. Terry's commentary is sought after by top media outlets because of his strong track record of early and accurate predictions on major US elections and major policy shifts.


Terry was a US presidential appointee and ran two congressional committees, including the one overseeing financial services and the Federal Reserve during 9/11 and the Enron/WorldCom scandals. Terry advised and advocated for over 100 Fortune 500 companies and major US trade associations across the policy spectrum while a partner in two top 100 US law firms and two government relations companies. Before Terry founded Pangaea, he ran US policy and political analysis for one of the top Wall Street research companies.

Alex Tarascio is an international pollster and strategist with extensive experience working with political parties, civil society organizations, and democratic institutions. Alex began his career in grassroots organizing for conservative causes and candidates – running campaigns in more than two dozen U.S. states. He later worked for U.S. House Majority Leader Kevin McCarthy in Washington D.C.

After leaving the Hill, Alex spent nine years at the International Republican Institute helping patriots in dozens of countries fight for their communities in the political arena. His projects advanced human dignity and freedom by equipping citizens with tools to effectively petition their government, and by supporting political parties to better represent their constituents. As a Deputy Regional Director, Alex designed and led initiatives across Europe focused on countering Russian disinformation, teaching rising political stars how to win elections, building transnational networks of politically active youth, and training political parties to use public opinion data to speak to voters.

At Cygnal, Alex works with diverse clients in the political, public affairs, and NGO sectors around the globe including in Australia, India, Europe, the Middle East, and the United States. No matter the country or client, he uses data to understand a client’s key audience, tailor compelling messages, and chart a path to victory.